⚡ Track Record

Prediction Results

How our fight picks have actually done, updated automatically after every event

🎯 High-confidence picks

72%right · 679 of 937 fights

A high-confidence pick is a fight where our model gives the favourite a 60%+ chance. Every one is marked with a 🎯 on the site. Record covers all such fights since mid-2023, each predicted using only what was known before the fight.

High confidence · last 90 days

68%correct · 60/88 fights

High confidence · last 30 days

65%correct · 15/23 fights

Small sample — results swing a lot over so few fights

Live record · locked before the fight

No fights yet

Starts with the next event. Picks are saved before each fight and graded afterwards.

How this is measured: every pick is made using only what was known before the fight (the model is run forward through time and never sees a result it is predicting). Close fights are close to coin flips, so we don't headline them. For full transparency, across every fight including the close ones, we are 63% right (1248 of 1994).

Can you trust the confidence we give a pick?

When we say a fighter has, say, a 70% chance to win, that fighter should end up actually winning around 70% of the time — not 90%, not 50%. Each row below groups our picks by how confident we were, and shows what actually happened. The closer the two numbers, the more you can trust that confidence level.

We said 0-20%

18%actually won0%(1)We overrated these

We said 20-40%

34%actually won31%(233)Spot on

We said 40-60%

51%actually won50%(1058)Spot on

We said 60-80%

67%actually won73%(681)Close

We said 80-100%

82%actually won81%(21)Spot on

Purple bar = what we predicted · Solid bar = what actually happened · Number in brackets = how many fights that's based on

Men's Divisions

Heavyweight

66%

91/138 correct

Light Heavyweight

60%

84/139 correct

Middleweight

64%

156/245 correct

Welterweight

65%

147/226 correct

Lightweight

63%

169/270 correct

Featherweight

60%

143/238 correct

Bantamweight

64%

143/223 correct

Flyweight

69%

103/150 correct

Women's Divisions

W. Featherweight

60%

3/5 correct

W. Bantamweight

61%

46/76 correct

W. Flyweight

59%

61/104 correct

W. Strawweight

59%

78/132 correct

All Results

Show:

Showing 937 fights72% correct (679 of 937)

Date

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

Pick

Conf.

Result

24/10/2026

Kody Steele

Noah Gugnon

Gugnon 60%

🎯 HIGH

✗

24/10/2026

Colby Thicknesse

Asaf Chopurov

Thicknesse 62%

🎯 HIGH

✓

24/10/2026

Nikita Krylov

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Yakhyaev 69%

🎯 HIGH

✓

24/10/2026

Iasmin Lucindo

Nicolle Caliari

Lucindo 78%

🎯 HIGH

✓

24/10/2026

Alexander Volkanovski

Movsar Evloev

Evloev 70%

🎯 HIGH

✗

17/10/2026

Melissa Croden

Chelsea Chandler

Croden 63%

🎯 HIGH

✗

17/10/2026

Erin Blanchfield

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Blanchfield 81%

🎯 HIGH

✗

17/10/2026

Julien Leblanc

Nick Galanti

Galanti 66%

🎯 HIGH

✓

17/10/2026

Marc-Andre Barriault

Kyle Daukaus

Daukaus 62%

🎯 HIGH

✗

10/10/2026

Julius Walker

Gerald Meerschaert

Walker 68%

🎯 HIGH

✓

10/10/2026

Felipe Franco

Brendson Ribeiro

Franco 70%

🎯 HIGH

✗

10/10/2026

Alice Pereira

Daria Zhelezniakova

Pereira 67%

🎯 HIGH

✓

10/10/2026

Matheus Camilo

Jai Herbert

Camilo 77%

🎯 HIGH

✗

03/10/2026

Jacobe Smith

Bruce Whitehead

Smith 75%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Rafael Dos Anjos

Alexander Hernandez

Hernandez 61%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Ateba Gautier

Roman Kopylov

Gautier 77%

🎯 HIGH

✗

03/10/2026

Damian Pinas

Andrey Pulyaev

Pinas 73%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Court McGee

Eric Nolan

Nolan 61%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Anthony Wint

Lucas Armand

Wint 69%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Marcus McGhee

Anthony Romero

McGhee 71%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Deiveson Figueiredo

Payton Talbott

Talbott 73%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

Natalia Silva

Wang Cong

Silva 76%

🎯 HIGH

✓

03/10/2026

King Green

Esteban Ribovics

Ribovics 67%

🎯 HIGH

✓

26/09/2026

Luis Hernandez

Sedriques Dumas

Hernandez 66%

🎯 HIGH

✓

26/09/2026

Montel Jackson

Ricky Simon

Jackson 64%

🎯 HIGH

✓

1–25 of 937