Best Bets

Upcoming MMA fights where our model picks the winner andthe best market price gives that pick a lower implied probability than we do. Edge = our probability minus the market's implied probability. Only predicted winners with an edge of 2% or greater appear here, sorted by edge size.

+56.1% EDGESat 30 May

Cameron

Smotherman

vs Kai Asakura

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Our Model

85%

Market

29%

Best Price

3.50

Best available · Coolbet

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+32.6% EDGESat 11 Jul

Conor

McGregor

vs Max Holloway

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Our Model

57%

Market

24%

Best Price

4.10

Best available · Coolbet

See Match Bet at Dafabet

+25.6% EDGESat 6 Jun

Jakub

Wiklacz

vs Marcus McGhee

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Our Model

50%

Market

24%

Best Price

4.10

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Dafabet

+24.1% EDGESat 30 May

Jesus

Aguilar

vs Rei Tsuruya

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Our Model

57%

Market

33%

Best Price

3.00

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+20.5% EDGESat 6 Jun

Tom

Nolan

vs Fares Ziam

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Our Model

53%

Market

32%

Best Price

3.10

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Dafabet

+20.0% EDGESat 30 May

Zhu

Kangjie

vs Ramon Taveras

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Our Model

70%

Market

50%

Best Price

2.01

Best available · Pinnacle

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+17.7% EDGESat 6 Jun

Edmen

Shahbazyan

vs Brendan Allen

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Our Model

51%

Market

33%

Best Price

3.05

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Dafabet

+16.4% EDGESun 14 Jun

Steve

Garcia

vs Diego Lopes

UFC Freedom 250

Our Model

54%

Market

38%

Best Price

2.65

Best available · Nordic Bet

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+13.6% EDGESat 11 Jul

Brandon

Royval

vs Lone'er Kavanagh

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Our Model

51%

Market

37%

Best Price

2.70

Best available · 1xBet

See Match Bet at Dafabet

+13.3% EDGESat 6 Jun

Gabriel

Bonfim

vs Belal Muhammad

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Our Model

55%

Market

42%

Best Price

2.40

Best available · Betclic (FR)

See Match Bet at Dafabet

+9.7% EDGESat 30 May

Sak Lee

vs Luis Felipe Dias

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Our Model

51%

Market

41%

Best Price

2.45

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+4.8% EDGESat 30 May

Xiong

Jingnan

vs Angela Hill

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Our Model

68%

Market

64%

Best Price

1.57

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+4.6% EDGESat 30 May

Jaqueline

Amorim

vs Loma Lookboonmee

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Our Model

57%

Market

52%

Best Price

1.91

Best available · BetOnline.ag

See Match Bet at Cloudbet

+3.8% EDGESat 6 Jun

Priscila

Cachoeira

vs Chelsea Chandler

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Our Model

55%

Market

51%

Best Price

1.96

Best available · 1xBet

See Match Bet at Dafabet

Prices update with the daily pipeline run. The price shown is the best available across the books we track. Where we have an affiliate (Cloudbet, Dafabet), Bet-Now deep-links straight to the fight; for other books the price is shown for reference only.
18+ · BeGambleAware.org · Refreshed 2026-05-26