Best Bets

Upcoming MMA fights where our model picks the winner andthe best market price gives that pick a lower implied probability than we do. Edge = our probability minus the market's implied probability. Only predicted winners with an edge of 2% or greater appear here, sorted by edge size.

+56.1% EDGESat 30 May
Cameron Smotherman
Cameron
Smotherman
vs Kai Asakura
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Our Model
85%
Market
29%
Best Price
3.50
Best available · Coolbet
+32.6% EDGESat 11 Jul
Conor McGregor
Conor
McGregor
vs Max Holloway
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Our Model
57%
Market
24%
Best Price
4.10
Best available · Coolbet
+25.6% EDGESat 6 Jun
Jakub Wiklacz
Jakub
Wiklacz
vs Marcus McGhee
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Our Model
50%
Market
24%
Best Price
4.10
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+24.1% EDGESat 30 May
Jesus Aguilar
Jesus
Aguilar
vs Rei Tsuruya
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Our Model
57%
Market
33%
Best Price
3.00
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+20.5% EDGESat 6 Jun
Tom Nolan
Tom
Nolan
vs Fares Ziam
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Our Model
53%
Market
32%
Best Price
3.10
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+20.0% EDGESat 30 May
K
Zhu
Kangjie
vs Ramon Taveras
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Our Model
70%
Market
50%
Best Price
2.01
Best available · Pinnacle
+17.7% EDGESat 6 Jun
Edmen Shahbazyan
Edmen
Shahbazyan
vs Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Our Model
51%
Market
33%
Best Price
3.05
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+16.4% EDGESun 14 Jun
Steve Garcia
Steve
Garcia
vs Diego Lopes
UFC Freedom 250
Our Model
54%
Market
38%
Best Price
2.65
Best available · Nordic Bet
+13.6% EDGESat 11 Jul
Brandon Royval
Brandon
Royval
vs Lone'er Kavanagh
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Our Model
51%
Market
37%
Best Price
2.70
Best available · 1xBet
+13.3% EDGESat 6 Jun
Gabriel Bonfim
Gabriel
Bonfim
vs Belal Muhammad
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Our Model
55%
Market
42%
Best Price
2.40
Best available · Betclic (FR)
+9.7% EDGESat 30 May
S
Yi
Sak Lee
vs Luis Felipe Dias
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Our Model
51%
Market
41%
Best Price
2.45
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+4.8% EDGESat 30 May
J
Xiong
Jingnan
vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Our Model
68%
Market
64%
Best Price
1.57
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+4.6% EDGESat 30 May
Jaqueline Amorim
Jaqueline
Amorim
vs Loma Lookboonmee
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Our Model
57%
Market
52%
Best Price
1.91
Best available · BetOnline.ag
+3.8% EDGESat 6 Jun
Priscila Cachoeira
Priscila
Cachoeira
vs Chelsea Chandler
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Our Model
55%
Market
51%
Best Price
1.96
Best available · 1xBet
Prices update with the daily pipeline run. The price shown is the best available across the books we track. Where we have an affiliate (Cloudbet, Dafabet), Bet-Now deep-links straight to the fight; for other books the price is shown for reference only.
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