METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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A late call-up with one UFC fight and no rated data from it, against a 27-year-old whose record splits cleanly down the middle: he beats the unranked and loses to everyone else.
Dakota Hope got this call on about three weeks' notice. Gaston Bolanos opened a cut over his eyebrow in training and came off the card on 8 October, and Hope — 11-2 as a professional, one appearance in the UFC — steps in at featherweight, a division below the one he debuted in. That single appearance is the whole of what the model knows about him. On 4 April he went fifteen minutes with Kai Kamak…
Hope (11-2) has one recorded UFC fight: a three-round decision loss to Kai Kamaka III on 4 April 2026, at lightweight. The database holds no usable round statistics from it, so his 0.0 performance average, 0.0 quality-of-victory and 0.0 style scores across the board are blanks rather than assessments, and his 7.8 composite should be read as 'unknown', not 'poor'. His 98.0 chin rating comes from going fifteen minutes without being stopped. He is 29, takes this on roughly three weeks' notice replacing Gaston Bolanos, and drops to featherweight for it after seven months out. Kamaka, the man who beat him, rates 26.6 and has since been knocked out by Luke Riley and Andre Fili.
Marshall (10-3) is 27 and the only rated fighter in the bout at 51.0, with a performance average of 46.7 that sits close enough to the composite to say the rating is not recency-driven. He is 2-0 in 2026 — a 2:29 first-round submission of Erik Silva in February, a decision over Lucas Brennan in April — but those opponents rate 4.3 and 7.8, which is what holds his quality-of-victory down to 39.8. All three of his defeats came to opponents rated above 50: Mairon Santos (75.0) on points at UFC 313, Isaac Dulgarian (61.4) by first-round knockout at 4:48 in August 2023, and William Gomis on points in April 2023. Finish rate 50 per cent. He has not fought since 25 April.
Hope has one recorded UFC fight and no usable round data from it — his 0.0 style scores are blanks, not assessments
Marshall's 39.8 quality-of-victory: his two 2026 wins came against opponents rated 4.3 and 7.8
All three of Marshall's defeats came to opponents rated above 50; he has never beaten a rated featherweight
Marshall's 46.7 performance average sits close to his 51.0 composite, so the rating is not recency-inflated
Four inches of reach to Marshall — 182.9cm against 172.7cm — with 5.21 pressure behind it
Hope took the bout on roughly three weeks' notice after Bolanos cut his eyebrow in training
Hope drops to featherweight after debuting at lightweight, and has been out since 4 April
Kamaka, the only man to beat Hope, rates 26.6 and has since been knocked out twice
The 43-point composite gap is mostly missing data on Hope's side, not demonstrated inferiority
Marshall's pattern is to beat the unrated and lose to the rated, and Hope is unrated — the pattern gives no read
Marshall's chin rates 74.0 and he was stopped inside a round the one time he was caught clean
An 11-2 fighter with no visible style profile could bring a grappling game the model cannot price
Both men have had long layoffs — Marshall six months, Hope seven — and Hope also has a three-week camp
Nothing in the data constrains how Hope performs at featherweight, since his only recorded fight was a division up
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10