METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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A perfect finish rate against an unbeaten record, two of the longest reaches in the division, and two chin ratings of 98 and 100 that nobody has yet managed to test.
This is an interim belt because Islam Makhachev could not make the January date with an injury, so the promotion did the sensible thing and matched the two men behind him. It has accidentally produced the most dangerous fight on the card. Carlos Prates has knocked out seven of the eight men he has faced in the UFC. Not seven of eight wins — seven of eight fights. Trevin Giles, Charles Radtke, Li …
Prates (24-7) is 7-1 in the UFC with seven knockouts — every win has come by stoppage, hence the 1.00 finish rate. Since losing a five-round decision to Ian Machado Garry in April 2025 he has stopped Geoff Neal in the first, Leon Edwards in the second and Jack Della Maddalena in the third. His 79.6 composite and 10.0 striking score are the highest in this fight, and his 59.3 quality-of-victory is the better of the two.
Morales (19-0) has never lost as a professional and is 7-0 in the UFC. His last three wins — Magny, Gilbert Burns, Sean Brady — were all first-round knockouts, and he has not been past round three in the promotion. His 100.0 chin rating is perfect because nobody has yet come close to stopping him, and at 200.7cm he has the longest reach in the fight. Six years younger than Prates.
Prates' 1.75 volume score against Morales' 4.29, over a scheduled five rounds
Prates' only UFC loss is the only time he has been taken into a fifth round
Morales has never fought past round three in the UFC — five of his seven wins ended in the first
Reaches of 200.7cm and 198.1cm with no grappling on either side: a pure long-range fight
Both knocked out Neil Magny in round one, eleven seconds apart
Morales' unbeaten record means his response to adversity is genuinely unknown — his 76.5 composite has never been stress-tested by losing a round badly
Prates' 1.00 finish rate and 10.0 striking score mean the volume argument is irrelevant if the fight ends in the first ten minutes, which is how most of his fights end
Neither man has a grappling route, so an early knockdown is very hard to recover from for either of them
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10