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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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Ciryl Gane defends the undisputed heavyweight title against an unbeaten Josh Hokit, who rates higher on the model but has four UFC fights to his name.
The model and the belt disagree. Josh Hokit, 9-0 and four fights into his UFC career, carries a 76.8 composite rating into Madison Square Garden against Ciryl Gane's 72.6 — a 4.2-point edge to the challenger. Gane has the title, the experience and eight inches of reach. The question is whether four fights' worth of heavyweights falling over is enough to beat a champion who has spent his career mak…
Gane (13-2) is 4-1 in his last five, the loss a first-round submission to Jon Jones in March 2023; since then he has stopped Serghei Spivac, outpointed Alexander Volkov and knocked out Alex Pereira in round two at UFC Freedom 250 for the interim title, before being promoted to undisputed champion when Tom Aspinall vacated. He is 36 on fight night, with 13 recorded fights and an 86 chin rating.
Hokit (9-0) has four recorded UFC fights, all wins since November 2025: KOs of Max Gimenis, Denzel Freeman and Derrick Lewis, and a decision over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 that earned a performance bonus. He is 29 on fight night. His 76.8 composite is the higher of the two, but it rests on four fights, none of them past three rounds.
Can Hokit get inside a 20.3cm reach disadvantage without eating the jab
Rounds four and five: none of Hokit's recorded fights has gone past three
Hokit's 9.5 striking against Gane's 86 chin — who lands clean first
Does Gane use his 2.33 grappling edge to change the picture if the stand-up turns dangerous
The 7.6-year age gap over a championship distance
Hokit's 76.8 composite is the higher number; this pick goes against it
Hokit has finished three of four recorded opponents, including Derrick Lewis, and Gane's 86 chin is lower than Hokit's 100
Gane is 36; a heavy early exchange at that age may not be recovered from as quickly as it once was
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10