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A chin rating of zero at Madison Square Garden, against a featherweight moving up on the back of two first-round knockouts.
Ag.Fight reported on 1 October that Melquizael Costa would move up to lightweight to face Jared Gordon at Madison Square Garden. For Costa it is a ten-pound step up after a featherweight run that nearly got him into the top five. For Gordon, at 38 and with a chin rating of 0.0, it is a fight the matchmakers did not have to make kind. That zero is the whole story and it deserves explaining rather …
Gordon (21-9) is 2-3 across his last five and has not won since stopping Thiago Moises in May 2025. He was submitted by Jim Miller in the first round in May 2026 and stopped by Rafa Garcia before that. His chin rating of 0.0 is the lowest figure the model issues. He is 38 on fight night and fighting in his home city.
Costa (26-8) is 4-1 in his last five, the sole loss a five-round decision to Arnold Allen in a May 2026 main event. The four wins are first-round knockouts of Dan Ige and Morgan Charriere and decisions over Julian Erosa and Christian Rodriguez; a first-round submission of Andre Fili sits just outside that window, in February 2025. His 0.571 finish rate and 84.0 momentum both lead this matchup, and he steps up from featherweight for the first time.
Gordon's 0.0 chin rating — the floor of the scale — against two first-round knockouts in Costa's last four
Costa moving up to lightweight for the first time after a featherweight career
7.6cm of reach and a 6.10-to-3.92 pressure edge for Costa
Gordon's 0.00 submission score against the man who submitted Andre Fili in a round
Gordon is 38, fighting at home, and has not won in eighteen months
Costa's own chin rates 64.0, and he has never fought at 155lbs — the extra weight he faces is real
Costa faded late against Arnold Allen over five rounds; Gordon's 6.39 volume is built for a long, ugly fight
Gordon has three recorded knockout wins and only needs Costa to stand still once
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10