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Barber comes back from the first knockout loss of her career to face the hardest-hitting prospect at 125, and the ratings say the prospect is already the better fighter.
Nine months ago Maycee Barber was seven fights unbeaten and the most persistent argument for a flyweight title shot that never arrived. In March, Alexa Grasso knocked her out in two minutes and forty-two seconds, and the division moved on. Carli Judice is what it moved on to. The ratings are not close. Judice's 71.6 composite is 16.8 points above Barber's 54.8, and the gap is not an artefact of a…
Barber (15-3) is 28 and returning from the first knockout loss of her UFC run — Alexa Grasso stopped her in the opening round in March, ending a seven-fight unbeaten stretch. Before that she beat Karine Silva by decision in December 2025, Katlyn Cerminara by decision in March 2024 and Amanda Ribas by second-round knockout in June 2023. Thirteen recorded UFC fights, a 0.40 finish rate, and a chin rating of 74.0 that the Grasso result accounts for.
Judice (6-2) is 27 and has won four straight, three inside the distance: Jeisla Chaves by first-round knockout in August, Juliana Miller by decision in February, Nicolle Caliari by third-round knockout in July 2025 and Yuneisy Duben by first-round knockout in March 2025. Her 71.6 composite and 48.8 quality-of-victory both lead this matchup, and her 0.75 finish rate is nearly double Barber's. Five recorded UFC fights is a modest sample for a 71.6.
Barber was knocked out in 2:42 by Grasso in March — what does she look like in the first round nine months on?
Can Barber close a seven-and-a-half-centimetre reach deficit against a southpaw with a 7.65 pressure rating?
Judice's 1.44-to-0.60 grappling deficit is her only soft spot: does Barber have the wrestling to exploit it?
Judice's 71.6 composite rests on five UFC fights and three quick finishes — is it a real number or a small sample running hot?
Barber has beaten Ribas, Cerminara and Silva; Judice has beaten nobody at that level. Does the step up land?
Thirteen UFC fights to five is a large experience gap, and Judice has never faced anyone with Barber's résumé.
If Barber turns it into a grappling match she owns every mat metric in the bout, and both women's 100.0 fade index means a long fight suits the more experienced woman.
Judice's 0.75 finish rate comes against opposition her own quality-of-victory figure flatters; a durable, hard-pressing opponent is a different test.
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