METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Combatrics Intelligence
AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data
The man who knocked out Israel Adesanya against the man Reinier de Ridder knocked out, with a chin rating of 98.0 facing one of 78.0.
Both men are 30, both have fewer than ten recorded fights, and both have spent the last two years being sold as the next American middleweight. This is the fight that stops one of those pitches. Pyfer arrives on the better run and the better single result. He is 4-0 since a decision loss to Jack Hermansson in February 2024, and the most recent of those four is a second-round knockout of Israel Ad…
Pyfer (16-3) is 4-0 since February 2024, most recently knocking out Israel Adesanya in the second round in March 2026. His composite rating is 75.7, momentum 100.0, finish rate 0.857, quality-of-victory 52.7 and chin rating 98.0 — he has never been stopped in eight recorded fights, and went a full five rounds with Jack Hermansson in his only octagon defeat. Six of his seven wins here came inside the distance: four knockouts and two submissions, including Abus Magomedov in 1:46 at UFC 320. His pressure score of 8.62 is the highest figure in his profile. He is 188.0cm with a 190.5cm reach, orthodox, and is 30.
Nickal (8-1) is 6-1 across seven recorded fights, the defeat a second-round knockout by Reinier de Ridder in May 2025 — the only time he has been finished, and the reason his chin rating is 78.0. He has since knocked out Rodolfo Vieira in the third at UFC 322 and Kyle Daukaus in the first at UFC Freedom 250 in June, giving him a momentum score of 88.5. His composite rating is 70.0, finish rate 0.833 and quality-of-victory 49.8. He leads the matchup in all three grappling categories — submission 3.33, grappling 3.07, wrestling 2.15 — but three of his last four wins came by knockout. He is 185.4cm with a 193.0cm reach, southpaw, and is 30.
Chin rating 98.0 against 78.0 — Pyfer has never been stopped, Nickal was knocked out by de Ridder in 1:53
Pyfer's 8.62 pressure score, the highest figure in his profile, against a wrestler who now chooses to strike
Three of Nickal's last four wins came by knockout, not submission — he is making himself available to be hit
Nickal leads all three grappling categories but by under half a point in each
Pyfer knocked out Israel Adesanya in March; it is the best win on either record by a distance
193.0cm of southpaw reach against 190.5cm orthodox — a small edge, but the only physical one Nickal holds
Eight recorded fights against seven — a 5.7-point composite gap on samples this small is not reliable
Quality-of-victory scores of 52.7 and 49.8 mean both records are thinner than the ratings suggest once Adesanya is set aside
The database holds no takedown or control-time data for either fighter, so the central question of whether Nickal can hold Pyfer down is unmeasured
Nickal's 78.0 chin rating rests on a single stoppage, which is a thin basis for calling him fragile
Three rounds, not five, which removes the late-fight scenario in which a wrestler normally grinds out a decision
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10