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Jim Miller brings 46 recorded UFC fights and a submission game to a first-round sprint against Terrance McKinney, whose last five all ended in round one.
Terrance McKinney fights as though the clock stops at five minutes, and on the evidence of his last five, it does. All five ended in the first round, three of them wins: knockouts of Damir Hadzovic and Kyle Nelson, the Nelson finish taking 24 seconds, and a submission of Viacheslav Borshchev. Jim Miller, 43 on fight night and 11.0 years older, has spent a career making fast starters pay for their …
Miller (39-19) is 3-2 in his last five, submitting Gabriel Benitez, Damon Jackson and Jared Gordon, with decision losses to King Green and Chase Hooper. He is 43 on fight night and has 46 recorded UFC fights, the deepest file in the model for this bout by a distance. His chin rating is 0.0.
McKinney (18-8) is 3-2 in his last five, every one of them over inside the first round: knockouts of Damir Hadzovic and Kyle Nelson and a submission of Viacheslav Borshchev, against a submission loss to Chris Duncan and a knockout loss to King Green in July. He is 32 on fight night with 14 recorded UFC fights.
McKinney's last five all ended in round one; can Miller get through the first five minutes?
Miller's 5.0 submission score against a man Chris Duncan submitted in round one
An 11.0-year age gap, with Miller 43 on fight night
Both chin ratings at 0.0: who lands first?
King Green went the distance with Miller and stopped McKinney in round one
McKinney has been finished in two of his last three; Miller's submissions are exactly the kind of threat that caught him against Duncan
If Miller survives the opening round, McKinney's 1.14 volume suggests he has little plan for a longer fight
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10