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A 100.0 chin that has never been hit by anyone rated above 45.2, against a 38-year-old with 27 career knockouts and two straight defeats. Johnson's first real punch arrives on short notice.
Donte Johnson has won nine professional fights and has been a professional for twenty-six months. That sentence is the whole problem with reading his rating at face value, and it is also the reason this is a more interesting fight than the numbers suggest. Johnson's 73.9 composite, his 100.0 chin rating and his 100.0 momentum score are all real outputs of real results — a guillotine choke of Sedr…
Almeida (7-3) is 38 on the night, Brazilian, out of Superfight Team and Rizzo RVT, and takes this on roughly six weeks' notice as a replacement for Baisangur Susurkaev. Composite 49.3 with a 48.0 performance average, so the rating is stable rather than propped up by one night. His case is entirely about striking: a 7.67 striking score, the highest in the bout, 6.17 pressure, and a kickboxing record of 47-8-1 with 27 knockouts including a 2013 win over Alex Pereira and the WGP cruiserweight title in 2018 and 2019. In the UFC that produced two Performance of the Night finishes — a second-round TKO of Dylan Budka (3.9) on his short-notice debut in April 2024 and a first-round knockout of Abdul Razak Alhassan (58.9) in January 2025 — alongside a decision over Ihor Potieria (29.2), hence a 46.7 quality-of-victory and a 66.7 per cent finish rate. The problem is the recent column: a split-decision loss to Roman Kopylov (57.3), a unanimous loss to Cezary Oleksiejczuk (60.8) in December 2025, and a knockout defeat to Damian Pinas (82.8) at 4:44 of the first at UFC 329 in July. That is 2-3 across his recorded last five, a 74.0 chin and a 38.0 momentum score. His grappling column is effectively blank: 0.8 grappling, 0.56 wrestling, 0.0 submission. Height 185.4cm, reach 188.0cm, orthodox.
Johnson (9-0) is 27, from Fond du Lac, Wisconsin, and fights out of Gnosis Combat Sports. He has been a professional only since August 2024 and won Dana White's Contender Series in August 2025 by stopping Darion Abbey in the first. Composite 73.9 with a 66.9 performance average; a 100.0 chin rating, a 100.0 momentum score and a 100.0 fade index. Every one of those is drawn from three UFC fights against opponents the model rates 23.7, 45.2 and 27.3, which is why his 44.8 quality-of-victory is the lowest figure he carries and the one worth trusting: a guillotine choke of Sedriques Dumas (23.7) at 1:25 of the second in November 2025, a decision over Cody Brundage (45.2) in March, a knockout of Eric McConico (27.3) at 1:38 of the first in August. Seven of his nine career wins are first-round finishes and 78 per cent are by knockout. Style scores read 5.33 striking, 7.67 pressure, 4.67 volume, 3.47 grappling, 2.43 wrestling, 3.33 submission; his official UFC page logs 3 of 3 takedowns landed and 77 per cent takedown defence, with 3.36 significant strikes landed per minute at 46 per cent accuracy. A former college footballer at Minnesota Duluth. Height 172.7cm, reach 188.0cm, southpaw.
Johnson's 100.0 chin has never been tested — his three UFC opponents rate 23.7, 45.2 and 27.3
His 44.8 quality-of-victory is the lowest figure on his sheet and the most honest one
Almeida brings 27 knockouts from a 47-8-1 kickboxing career, including a 2013 win over Alex Pereira
Almeida's grappling column is effectively empty: 0.8 grappling, 0.56 wrestling, 0.0 submission
Johnson is 3 for 3 on UFC takedowns with 77 per cent defence and a guillotine finish already on record
Identical 188.0cm reaches despite five inches of height between them — Almeida's size advantage buys him no length
Almeida was knocked out by Damian Pinas (82.8) at 4:44 of the first in July; his chin reads 74.0 and his momentum 38.0
Eleven years between them: Almeida 38 on the night, Johnson 27 and a professional only since August 2024
Almeida is the replacement, in for Baisangur Susurkaev on roughly six weeks' notice
Seven of Johnson's nine career wins are first-round finishes
Almeida's 7.67 striking is the best in the bout, and Johnson has never been hit by anyone who can punch
Johnson's whole rating rests on three fights against opponents rated in the twenties and forties — it may not survive a step up
Almeida has twice won Performance of the Night for a knockout, most recently against Abdul Razak Alhassan (58.9)
Johnson's 100.0 chin and 100.0 momentum are untested rather than proven, and a thin sample can break in one exchange
The open-stance matchup favours whoever wins the lead-foot battle, and Almeida has decades more kickboxing experience at it
A six-week camp for a 38-year-old four months after a knockout loss is a real unknown the ratings do not capture
Johnson has been past the second round only once, so his championship-round cardio is unmeasured
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