METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Combatrics Intelligence
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Five recorded UFC fights between them, a fifteen-centimetre reach gap, and a 22-year-old who has already been in with Bryce Mitchell.
Neither man here has enough recorded fights to justify a firm opinion. Aleksandre Topuria has two; Santiago Luna has three. The composites — 60.8 and 57.5 — are separated by three points, which at this sample size is noise rather than signal. Anyone telling you they know how this goes is guessing, and the honest job is to say what little the data does support. Topuria (7-1) has won both his octag…
Topuria (7-1) is unbeaten in the octagon but has only two recorded fights — decisions over Bekzat Almakhan in November 2025 and Colby Thicknesse in February 2025. Both went the full fifteen minutes, and his finish rate is 0.00. His 25.0 quality-of-victory is the lowest in this pack, which is the model's way of saying the opposition has been modest.
Luna (8-0) is 22 and has three recorded fights: a knockout of Quang Le in the first round in September 2025, a decision over Angel Pacheco in February, and a third-round submission loss to Bryce Mitchell in June — the first defeat of his professional career. His 42.5 quality-of-victory leads Topuria's 25.0, reflecting a harder run of opponents.
Two recorded fights against three — the composites are three points apart and neither is trustworthy
Luna's 188.0cm reach against a fighter with a 3.00 pressure score who has to close it
Topuria's 10.0 volume score paired with a 2.00 striking score — busy, but is it doing damage
Bryce Mitchell submitted Luna in round three; Topuria's 2.40 grappling is the better of the two
The seven-year age gap, with Luna at 22 and already carrying a loss to ranked opposition
Both fighters are effectively unmapped, and a 60.8 built on two decisions can be wrong by twenty points in either direction
Topuria's 25.0 quality-of-victory suggests he has not yet beaten anyone of Luna's standard
If Luna fights at range behind the reach, Topuria has no demonstrated knockout power to force him inside
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10