METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Combatrics Intelligence
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A 42-year-old with a chin rating of 20 meets a southpaw who has finished three of his last five inside a round, and the arithmetic is brutal.
Jared Cannonier has spent a decade being the hardest night's work in the middleweight division, and the model has finally started charging him for it. His chin rating sits at 20.0 — the lowest figure in this pack by some margin — and that is not a slight on his toughness so much as the accumulated bill for twenty-one recorded UFC appearances against the best 185-pounders of his era. The form line…
Cannonier (18-9) has lost four of his last five, most recently a decision to Christian Leroy Duncan in July, with his only win in that run a fourth-round knockout of Gregory Rodrigues in February 2025. At 42 he is the oldest fighter in this pack, and his chin rating of 20.0 is the metric the model is shouting about. He carries 195.6cm of reach and a 0.64 finish rate from a switch stance.
Aliskerov (17-2) has won three straight — decisions over Brunno Ferreira in June and JunYong Park in October 2025, and a first-round knockout of Andre Muniz in April 2025. His only recent loss is the 1:49 knockout by Robert Whittaker in June 2024. Six UFC fights are on file, enough to take the 65.2 composite seriously but not enough to treat it as settled.
Cannonier's 20.0 chin rating against a man with a 0.60 finish rate and two first-round knockouts in his last five
Can Cannonier's 195.6cm reach keep a 6.70-pressure southpaw on the end of it for fifteen minutes
Aliskerov's 4.87 volume against a 3.96 counter-puncher who needs to be led onto
Both submission scores at 0.0 — there is no mat to retreat to for either man
Nine years of age gap, and Cannonier's last win came in February 2025
Aliskerov has been knocked out inside two minutes before, and Cannonier hits harder than anyone on his record bar Whittaker
Six recorded UFC fights is a thin base for a 65.2 composite, and the qov scores are near-identical at 46.0 and 45.5 — Aliskerov has not beaten better men
Three of Cannonier's four recent defeats went the distance; if he survives round one his decision-fight experience is real
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10