METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Combatrics Intelligence
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Three straight knockouts give Yousri Belgaroui the second-highest composite on the card; Caio Borralho's job is to drag him somewhere the model has never seen.
This is the model against the résumé. Yousri Belgaroui has three recorded UFC fights, three knockouts, and a 79.9 composite rating that sits second on the card, behind only Bilal Hasan's 80.7. Caio Borralho has nine recorded fights, wins over Jared Cannonier and Reinier de Ridder, and a composite of 62.8. The 17.1-point gap favours the newer man, and whether it should is the story of the fight. B…
Borralho (18-2) is 4-1 in his last five: a decision over Reinier de Ridder at UFC 326 in March, a five-round decision loss to Nassourdine Imavov before that, and earlier wins over Jared Cannonier, Paul Craig (KO/TKO, round two) and Abus Magomedov. He is 33 on fight night with nine recorded fights. His 31.8 quality-of-victory is the third-lowest on the card.
Belgaroui (10-3) is 3-0 across three recorded UFC fights, all by KO/TKO: Azamat Bekoev and Mansur Abdul-Malik in round three, Djorden Santos in round one on 12 September. He is 34 on fight night and returns on nine weeks' rest. Three fights is a thin base for a 79.9 composite.
Can Borralho get Belgaroui to the mat and find out what the 0.0 grappling score is hiding
Belgaroui's 10.2cm reach edge against Borralho's 7.78 volume
Nine weeks between fights for Belgaroui — sharpness or wear
Is Borralho's 31.8 quality-of-victory an honest read of wins over de Ridder and Cannonier
Belgaroui has finished all three recorded opponents; can Borralho's 98 chin survive the first heavy exchange
Belgaroui's composite rests on three fights; Borralho's résumé is deeper
If Borralho's wrestling lands early, the fight moves into territory where Belgaroui has no recorded data at all
Borralho's volume could win rounds on the cards against a fighter with a 2.0 volume score who has never needed a decision
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10