METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Combatrics Intelligence
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Twenty-four recorded UFC fights against one, and a set of near-perfect ratings that nobody should trust until Tahir Abdullayev has fought a second time.
This is a fight about how much a number is worth. Tahir Abdullayev's profile reads like a world-beater's — a 78.5 composite, a 100.0 chin rating, a striking score of 10.0, a pressure score of 10.0, a 1.00 finish rate — and every one of those figures comes from one recorded UFC fight. The model has a single data point and is extrapolating from it. Treat the 78.5 as a placeholder, not a verdict. Wh…
Matthews (22-8) is 4-1 in his last five, beating Carlston Harris on the cards in May and submitting Chidi Njokuani in 69 seconds in July 2025, with the one loss a third-round submission to Neil Magny in September 2025. At 32 with twenty-four recorded UFC fights he is the known quantity here. His 24.0 chin rating and 36.2 quality-of-victory are the two figures working against him.
Abdullayev (20-3) has exactly one recorded UFC fight: a third-round knockout of Jefferson Nascimento in June 2026. Everything attached to him — the 78.5 composite, the 100.0 chin rating, the 1.00 finish rate — rests on that single result, and should be read as a first impression rather than a rating. At 29 he is three years the younger man.
A 78.5 composite built from one recorded fight — how much of it survives contact with a twenty-four-fight veteran
Matthews' 4.20 grappling against an opponent whose takedown defence has no recorded value at all
Matthews' 24.0 chin rating against a man whose only octagon appearance ended in a knockout
Abdullayev's 185.4cm reach on a 172.7cm frame, matching a man seven centimetres taller
Matthews was submitted by Neil Magny in September 2025 — the mat is not a guaranteed refuge
Abdullayev's entire rating rests on a single fight; if his wrestling is as undeveloped as the 0.0 implies, Matthews wins this in round one
Matthews' 100.0 momentum is real and recent, and his 5.33 volume suggests he can bank rounds without ever being in danger
No cardio evidence exists for Abdullayev past one third-round finish, and a fifteen-minute grappling fight is the worst version of his night
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10