Yana Santos vs Luana Santos — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Las Vegas, USA

31 Oct 2026

Women's Bantamweight

27%

Santos

73%

Santos

High confidence · Santos 73%

⚡ ML Model

Yana Santos

17 – 8

5'6"68" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 37

Luana Santos

11 – 2

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"

CFR 67

Yana

Santos

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Santos

Karol Rosa beat one of these women in 2023 and lost to the other in 2026, which is the cleanest line you will get through a thirty-point ratings gap.

There is a shared opponent here and it does most of the work. Karol Rosa outpointed Yana Santos over three rounds in July 2023. Luana Santos outpointed Karol Rosa over three rounds in June 2026. Three years and a generation separate those two afternoons, and the ratings have noticed. Luana's composite of 67.3 is 30.3 points clear of Yana's 37.0, and unusually for a gap that size the supporting me…

Santos intel

Yana Santos (17-8) has won three straight, all by decision, over Macy Chiasson in October 2025, Miesha Tate in May 2025 and Chelsea Chandler in August 2024. At 36 she is the older woman by a decade, with twelve recorded UFC fights, a finish rate of 0.00 and a chin rating of 30.0.

Santos intel

Luana Santos (10-2) is 4-1 in her last five, beating Karol Rosa by decision in June 2026 and submitting Tainara Lisboa and Mariya Agapova before that. She is 26, carries a chin rating of 98.0 and a perfect 100.0 momentum score, and her only recent defeat was a decision to Casey O'Neill at flyweight.

Key angles

Karol Rosa as the shared opponent: she beat Yana in 2023 and lost to Luana in 2026

Yana's 9.17 volume score against Luana's 6.07 pressure rating — output versus forward movement

A submission score of 3.33 against 0.0, with two of Luana's last five ending on the mat

Ten years between them, 26 against 36, over three rounds

Yana has never been finished in the recorded five, yet rates 30.0 for chin

Risk flags

Yana's 9.17 volume is the highest single style figure either woman owns; a busy, clinch-heavy three rounds is exactly how her last three wins were built

Luana's 67.3 composite rests on seven recorded UFC fights, and two of her wins came at flyweight

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Santos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

5'6"

68"+

Reach

67"

Age

+26

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Santos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

37.0

67.3

38.3

Performance Avg

58.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Santos

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

1.2

/ 10

3.4

/ 10

1.8

Style: Pressure

6.1

9.2

Style: Volume

5.7

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Santos

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

2.4

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Santos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.7 stoppage

KO round context

—

6 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/25 fights

Chin rating based on

8/13 fights

Santos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

Santos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.4

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.9

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

1.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.1

9.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.7

Santos

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Santos

Attacking

176 landed

Absorbing

227 absorbed

Santos

Attacking

89 landed

Absorbing

79 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Santos targets the head (35% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 66% of strikes there

🎯Santos targets the head (72% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 66% of strikes there

Santos · Last 5

Upcoming

Luana Santos

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Macy Chiasson

Decision

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Miesha Tate

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Chelsea Chandler

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Karol Rosa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Santos · Last 5

Upcoming

Yana Santos

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Karol Rosa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Melissa Croden

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

W · Sub · R2

Tainara Lisboa

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Casey O'Neill

Decision

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

News & Media

Yana Santos · Luana Santos

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Luana

Santos

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