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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2026
Flyweight
VS
34%
Raposo
66%
Degli
Win Probability
Mitch
Mitch Raposo
10 – 3
5'5"64" reachSwitch28 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 37
MD
Marcos Degli
"Tailandes"
15 – 3
26 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Degli

A decision-grinder on his first UFC winning streak against a Muay Thai finisher who has stopped fourteen of his fifteen wins β€” and who has no record in this database at all.

Added to the prelims on 27 October, eleven days out, this is a debut booking with a genuinely unbalanced evidence base: one fighter has four recorded UFC fights and the other has none. Mitch Raposo is the known quantity, and what is known is specific. All four of his recorded fights went to the judges β€” two losses to open his UFC run against Andre Lima and Sumudaerji, then decisions over Azat Mak…

Raposo intel

Raposo (10-3) has won his last two recorded fights, both decisions β€” Maksum in October 2025 and a split over Nascimento in June 2026 β€” after losing his first two UFC outings. All four went the distance; his finish rate in the database is 0.00. A third straight win would be the best run of his UFC career. He is 28 on fight night.

Degli intel

Degli (15-3) makes his UFC debut and has no recorded fights in this database, so he carries no composite rating, chin rating or style scores. Outside the database: a 13-fight winning streak, 14 finishes in 15 wins, the LFA flyweight title, and a Contender Series contract won by standing rear-naked choke over Paris Moran. He is 26, trains at Vale Top Team with Carlos Prates, and fights out of a Muay Thai base.

Key angles

Degli is a debutant with no recorded data β€” his ratings are blank, not low

Raposo's 96.0 chin against fourteen finishes in fifteen career wins

A 7.6cm reach edge for Degli against a 1.00 striking score

All four of Raposo's recorded fights went to the judges; he has never been stopped or stopped anyone

Degli was added to the card on 27 October, eleven days out

Risk flags

Degli has no UFC record, so the pick rests on regional form that does not always travel

Raposo's 38.9 momentum and 37.2 composite mean the opposition he beat was not strong β€” his two wins may be worth less than they look

Short-notice debut: Degli's weight cut and nerves are both unknowns on this timeline

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Raposo
Degli
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
28
Age
+26
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Raposo
Degli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
β€”
35.0
Performance Avg
β€”
25
Quality of Victory
β€”
39
Momentum Score
β€”
Raposo
Degli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
β€”
44%
Strike Accuracy
β€”
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
β€”
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Raposo
Degli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
β€”
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
β€”
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
β€”
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Raposo
Degli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
β€”
Never stopped
Verdict
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/18 fights
Raposo
Degli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
39
β€”
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
Raposo
Degli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
β€”
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Raposo
Degli
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
β€”
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
β€”
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
β€”
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
β€”
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
β€”
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
β€”
Raposo
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Degli
Raposo
Attacking
25HEAD7BODY0LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
40HEAD13BODY15LEGS68 absorbed

Raposo Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.9L6.1L4.5W5.9W2024-062025-042025-102026-06
WinLossTrend

Raposo Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Marcos Degli
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady Β· 2026-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Allan NascimentoRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Β· 2026-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Β· 2025-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Β· 2025-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Andre LimaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06

Degli Β· Last 1

Upcoming
Mitch Raposo
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady Β· 2026-11

News & Media

Mitch Raposo Β· Marcos Degli
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