METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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Dan Hooker's chin rating is 0.0, the lowest figure anywhere on this card, and across from him is the man whose 5.0 submission score is the highest.
Dan Hooker has lost three in a row and all three ended early. Salahdine Parnasse stopped him in 2:35 of round one in September, Benoit Saint Denis in 4:45 of round two in January, and Arman Tsarukyan submitted him in 3:34 of round two in November 2025. His last win was a decision over Mateusz Gamrot in August 2024. The chin rating reads 0.0 — the lowest figure on this card and the lowest the metri…
Hooker (24-15) has lost three straight, all by finish — Parnasse in 2:35 of round one in September, Saint Denis in 4:45 of round two in January, Tsarukyan by submission in November 2025 — and has not won since beating Mateusz Gamrot in August 2024. His 0.0 chin rating is the lowest figure on the card. What he keeps is 190.5cm of reach, 15.2cm more than Ortega, and twenty-five recorded UFC fights of knowing how to use it.
Ortega (16-5, 1 NC) is 1-4 across his recorded last five, the win a third-round guillotine on Yair Rodriguez in February 2024. He has not fought since losing a decision to Aljamain Sterling in August 2025 — a fight he took the day after fainting backstage from a botched weight cut — and this is his lightweight debut. His 5.00 submission score is the highest on the card, his 4.30 grappling and 3.01 wrestling second only to Asu Almabayev's, and his 0.88 finish rate behind only Jiri Prochazka's.
A 0.0 chin rating against a 5.0 submission score and a 0.88 finish rate
Tsarukyan submitted Hooker in round two twelve months ago; Ortega grapples better than Tsarukyan
Hooker's 15.2cm reach advantage, the second-widest on the card, is his entire path to a decision
Ortega's first fight in fifteen months and his first ever at lightweight
Between them, one win in the last four years of combined fights
Ortega is 1-4 in his last five and has beaten one man since 2021 — the 62.1 composite is carried by older work
A lightweight debut after a career at 145 means the weight advantage Ortega has always enjoyed is gone, against a natural 155er with 15cm of reach
Hooker's 6.12 striking from that range could keep this at distance for fifteen minutes, where Ortega's 2.23 volume will not win rounds
Fifteen months out, and the last appearance was compromised before the bell
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10