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Eight of these two men's last ten fights ended by knockout, and the one with a 34.0 chin rating is the one who hits hardest.
Jiri Prochazka arrives in Doha without the belt. Carlos Ulberg took it from him at UFC 327 in April, stopping him in 3:45 of the first round, and the manner of it was pure Prochazka. Ulberg appeared to hurt his own leg in an early exchange; Prochazka went hunting the finish; a left hook caught him coming in. That sequence is the whole fighter in one round — a 9.00 pressure rating married to a volu…
Prochazka (32-6-1) lost the light heavyweight title to Carlos Ulberg in April, stopped in 3:45 of round one, and comes back for the first time since. All five of his recorded last five ended by knockout — three his, two against him. His 1.00 finish rate and 57.1 quality-of-victory are each the highest on the card, and his 9.67 striking score and 9.00 pressure rating are second only to Tahir Abdullayev's. His 34.0 chin rating is the number working against all of it.
Stirling (11-0) is six for six in the UFC and arrives on the best win of his career, a first-round knockout of Jan Blachowicz in 2:56 in August. His chin rating and momentum score both read 100.0 — the ceiling in each case — and he has never been stopped. The reservation is depth: six recorded fights and a 40.8 quality-of-victory, 16.3 behind the former champion across from him.
Prochazka's 34.0 chin rating across five scheduled rounds
A 6.00-to-1.33 volume split — Stirling throws four and a half times as often
Prochazka's 57.1 quality-of-victory against Stirling's 40.8, a 16.3 gap and the second-widest on the card
Six recorded fights behind Stirling's 71.1 composite, the thinnest base on the card
A 2.7 composite gap, the second-narrowest of the nine Doha bouts — the model sees this as close
Prochazka's finish rate is 1.00 and his striking score the second-highest on the card; one clean shot in the first eight minutes ends the argument
Stirling has never fought past round three in the UFC and has never seen the championship rounds
Prochazka is coming off a knockout loss and a seven-month layoff, and the Pereira defeat showed how quickly he can be caught walking in
Stirling's 40.8 qov means the 100.0 chin rating has not yet been tested by anyone who punches like Prochazka
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