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Combatrics Intelligence
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Manel Kape has knocked out both of these men in round three, and how each one has looked since is the only question that matters.
The cleanest way into this fight is through a third man. Manel Kape stopped Asu Almabayev in the third round in March 2025, and stopped Kyoji Horiguchi in the third round in June 2026. Both men were beaten by the same fighter, in the same round, by the same method. What separates them is what they did next — and Almabayev has had twenty months to answer, while Horiguchi's answer is still five mont…
Almabayev (23-3) has won three in a row: a third-round submission of Charles Johnson in June, a 22-second third-round submission of Alex Perez in November 2025, and a decision over Jose Ochoa. His only recent defeat is the third-round knockout by Manel Kape in March 2025. At 32 with eight recorded fights, his 4.80 grappling and 4.29 submission scores are the standout numbers.
Horiguchi (36-5) is 35 and carries eleven recorded fights, though his logged results skip from November 2016 to November 2025. The modern run reads a submission of Tagir Ulanbekov, a decision over Amir Albazi in February, and a third-round knockout loss to Manel Kape in June. His 66.0 chin rating is the lower of the two, and his 160.0cm reach is the shortest in this pack.
Manel Kape stopped both men in round three — Almabayev has won three since, Horiguchi has not fought since
Almabayev's 4.29 submission score against a 66.0 chin and a fighter five months removed from a knockout
Horiguchi's 160.0cm reach, the shortest in the pack, against an identical-height opponent with 165.1cm
A 100.0 momentum score attached to a man whose last result was a defeat
Horiguchi's recorded octagon history jumps nine years, from November 2016 to November 2025 — the model is reading two different careers
Horiguchi's 3.86 striking and 6.97 volume are both the better figures, and Almabayev's 1.75 striking means he has to get inside to do anything
A 36-5 record and a decision win over Amir Albazi in February say Horiguchi remains a live opponent for anyone at flyweight
Almabayev has been stopped by strikes himself, and Horiguchi is the sharper counter-puncher
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10