METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Milwaukee, USA
31 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
35%
Mendes
65%
Guida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:30
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:30
def. Clay Guida · UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Mendes wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Guida holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Mendes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MendesGuida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
39.7
54.7
Performance Avg
40.7
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
78
Mendes
Guida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
4.2
4.0
Style: Volume
5.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Mendes
Guida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.8
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mendes
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Mendes
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Mendes
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Guida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
MendesGuida
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGuida
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04