METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Lightweight
VS
64%
Penn
36%
Sanchez
Win Probability
★ Official Result
BJ PennwinsR5 · 2:37
def. Diego Sanchez · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penn
→
Actual result
Penn wins
Pre-fight analysis
Penn holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PennSanchez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penn
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Penn
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
12.7
56.9
Performance Avg
46.0
63
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
20
Penn
Sanchez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
4.0
1.6
Style: Volume
6.2
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Penn
Sanchez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penn
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
32/44 fights
Penn
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Penn
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
32%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
13
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
PennSanchez
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (90% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the body (100% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallSubmission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraUFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallKO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteDecision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09