Randy Brown vs Belal Muhammad — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie

Brooklyn, USA

11 Feb 2017

Welterweight

49%

Brown

51%

Muhammad

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Randy Brown

"Rudeboy"

20 – 8

6'3"78" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 53

Belal Muhammad

"Remember the Name"

24 – 5

Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"

CFR 56

★ Official Result

Belal MuhammadwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Randy Brown · UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Muhammad

→

Actual result

Muhammad wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 49% vs Muhammad at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Muhammad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BrownMuhammad

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Brown

Muhammad

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"+

Height

5'11"

78"+

Reach

72"

36+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Brown

Muhammad

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

52.9

55.8

48.7

Performance Avg

47.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Brown

Muhammad

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

5.4

Style: Pressure

3.5

5.3

Style: Volume

7.8

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance3

0Clinch0

3Ground1

Brown

Muhammad

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.9

/ 10

2.5

/ 10

2.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

2.1

Submission Style (/10)

0.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Brown

Muhammad

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

19 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

23/28 fights

Chin rating based on

22/29 fights

Brown

Muhammad

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Brown

Muhammad

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

20%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown

Muhammad

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.8

2.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.5

2.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

2.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.7

5.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.5

5.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.8

Brown

Strike Zones

Muhammad

Brown

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Muhammad

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Brown targets the head (86% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 86% of strikes there

🎯Muhammad targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown

RND

Muhammad

0/0R00/0

Brown · Last 5

Upcoming

Jacobe Smith

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · 2026-10

L · Dec · R3

Kevin Holland

Decision

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

L · KO · R2

Gabriel Bonfim

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · KO · R2

Nicolas Dalby

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

L · Dec · R3

Bryan Battle

Decision

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Muhammad · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Gabriel Bonfim

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

L · Dec · R5

Jack Della Maddalena

Decision

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

W · Dec · R5

Leon Edwards

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R5

Gilbert Burns

Decision

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Randy Brown · Belal Muhammad

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