METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Lightweight
VS
60%
40%
Hubbard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rongzhu winsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Austin Hubbard · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
→
Actual result
wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hubbard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hubbard has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Hubbard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hubbard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hubbard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
31.7
41.6
Performance Avg
28.7
31
Quality of Victory
26
68
Momentum Score
41
Hubbard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.0
7.1
Style: Volume
6.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
20
9
Body
9
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
52Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hubbard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hubbard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/33 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Hubbard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
41
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Hubbard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hubbard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Strike Zones
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedHubbard
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (79% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Hubbard targets the head (69% of attacks) — absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Hubbard
0/0R00/0
· Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · R2
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Hubbard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Kurt HolobaughSubmission
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