METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Featherweight
VS
80%
Volkanovski
20%
Kennedy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:57
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
28 – 4
5'6"71" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 66
JK
Jeremy Kennedy
"JBC"
11 – 1
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:57
def. Jeremy Kennedy · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Volkanovski is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Volkanovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Risk flags

Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VolkanovskiKennedy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.9
16.8
62.2
Performance Avg
45.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
72
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
2.3
6.7
Style: Volume
9.5
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
4
9
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
1Clinch0
40Ground4
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkanovski
Kennedy
Striking5.4 / 1.5Volume6.7 / 9.5Grappling1.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Volkanovski
Strike Zones
Kennedy
Volkanovski
Attacking
33HEAD9BODY1LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Kennedy
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD9BODY1LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (77% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Kennedy targets the head (80% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkanovski
RND
Kennedy
0/0R00/0

Volkanovski · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Movsar Evloev
KO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia Topuria
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam Makhachev
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Kennedy · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Alexander Volkanovski
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyle Bochniak
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Rony Jason
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Alex Ricci
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

News & Media

Alexander Volkanovski · Jeremy Kennedy
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