METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Baku, Azerbaijan
27 Jun 2026
Welterweight
VS
93%
Abdullayev
7%
Nascimento
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:28
★ Official Result
Tahir AbdullayevwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:28
def. Jefferson Nascimento · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Abdullayev
→
Actual result
Abdullayev wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Abdullayev is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 72 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Abdullayev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AbdullayevNascimento
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
29
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.5
6.2
70.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
6
Body
9
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance12
3Clinch1
19Ground0
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdullayev
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AbdullayevNascimento
Strike Zones
Abdullayev
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abdullayev targets the head (77% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the body (69% of attacks) — Abdullayev absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdullayev
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
Abdullayev · Last 2
Upcoming
Jake MatthewsUFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling · 2026-11
W · KO · R3
Jefferson NascimentoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
Nascimento · Last 2
Upcoming
Nazim SadykhovUFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 2026-11
L · KO · R3
Tahir AbdullayevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06