METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A Canadian with a 98 chin rating and three UFC fights meets a submission threat who has been stopped once and carries a 0.67 finish rate.
Melissa Croden has three recorded UFC fights and the model likes all of them. Her 57.9 composite is the higher figure here, her chin rating is 98.0, her momentum reads 78.7, and her 6.33 striking score is comfortably the best in this pairing. The caveat has to be said plainly: three fights is a small base, and ratings built on it move a long way with one bad night. What those three fights contain…
Croden (8-3) has three recorded UFC fights: a decision win over Daria Zhelezniakova in April, a decision loss to Luana Santos in December 2025, and a third-round stoppage of Tainara Lisboa in October 2025. At 35, with a 98.0 chin rating and a 57.9 composite, she is the better-rated fighter here on a deliberately small sample.
Chandler (6-4) submitted Priscila Cachoeira in the first round in June, her first win since a decision over Josiane Nunes in March 2024. She was knocked out by Joselyne Edwards in the first round in April 2025 and has decision losses to Yana Santos and Norma Dumont. Her 46.3 quality-of-victory is the higher of the two.
Croden's ratings rest on three recorded UFC fights — the 57.9 composite is not yet load-bearing
A 0.0 submission score for Croden against Chandler's 3.33 and a first-round finish in June
Croden's 6.33 striking against 4.33 in a fight that starts standing
Chandler's 74.0 chin and the Joselyne Edwards knockout as the fastest route against her
Chandler's 46.3 quality-of-victory against Croden's 37.5 — she has faced the harder schedule
One takedown changes the fight entirely given Croden's 0.84 wrestling and 0.0 submission scores
Three recorded fights is not enough to trust a 98.0 chin rating against a fighter with a 0.67 finish rate
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown