METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
46%
Almeida
54%
Kopylov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Roman KopylovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cesar Almeida · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kopylov
→
Actual result
Kopylov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 46% vs Kopylov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmeidaKopylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almeida
Kopylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Almeida
Kopylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.3
57.3
48.0
Performance Avg
52.7
47
Quality of Victory
47
38
Momentum Score
64
Almeida
Kopylov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
7.1
3.7
Style: Volume
3.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
6
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance11
2Clinch0
1Ground3
Almeida
Kopylov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Kopylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
70
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Almeida
Kopylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Almeida
Kopylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Kopylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
AlmeidaKopylov
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKopylov
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (47% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Kopylov targets the head (93% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Kopylov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Almeida · Last 5
Upcoming
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