METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Baraniewski
41%
Aslan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:29
★ Official Result
Iwo BaraniewskiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:29
def. Ibo Aslan · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Baraniewski
→
Actual result
Baraniewski wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Baraniewski at 59% vs Aslan at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Aslan has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaraniewskiAslan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baraniewski
Aslan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
27+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baraniewski
Aslan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
77.1
53.7
66.0
Performance Avg
49.0
60
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
46
Baraniewski
Aslan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
9.3
Style: Pressure
8.2
1.5
Style: Volume
0.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
29
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance19
6Clinch11
10Ground0
Baraniewski
Aslan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Baraniewski
Aslan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Baraniewski
Aslan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Baraniewski
Aslan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baraniewski
Aslan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
BaraniewskiAslan
Strike Zones
Baraniewski
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedAslan
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baraniewski targets the head (82% of attacks) — Aslan absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Aslan targets the head (97% of attacks) — Baraniewski absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baraniewski
RND
Aslan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Baraniewski · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
Aslan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
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