METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
60%
Chiesa
40%
McGee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Court McGee · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Chiesa holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but McGee has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaMcGee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
McGee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
McGee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
34.2
53.3
Performance Avg
39.4
43
Quality of Victory
36
50
Momentum Score
35
Chiesa
McGee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
3.2
4.6
Style: Volume
6.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
21
Body
6
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance11
17Clinch1
0Ground0
Chiesa
McGee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
9
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
McGee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
25/37 fights
Chiesa
McGee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
35
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Chiesa
McGee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
27%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
9
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
McGee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
ChiesaMcGee
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMcGee
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the body (64% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯McGee targets the body (50% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
McGee
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
McGee · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Eric NolanKO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05