METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
66%
Kavanagh
34%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lone'er KavanaghwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe dos Santos · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kavanagh
→
Actual result
Kavanagh wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kavanagh holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kavanagh's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KavanaghSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kavanagh
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
27
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kavanagh
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
26.4
46.9
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
28
Kavanagh
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
7.3
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
6
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance7
1Clinch0
3Ground4
Kavanagh
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kavanagh
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kavanagh
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kavanagh
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kavanagh
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
KavanaghSantos
Strike Zones
Kavanagh
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (61% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kavanagh
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Kavanagh · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Ramazan TemirovKO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · Sub · R3
Brandon RoyvalSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Santos · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09