METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Welterweight
VS
52%
Neal
48%
Price
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:39
Geoff
Geoff Neal
"Handz of Steel"
16 – 8
5'11"75" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 56
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Geoff NealwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:39
def. Niko Price · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neal
→
Actual result
Neal wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Neal at 52% vs Price at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NealPrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neal
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Neal
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
51.1
51.7
Performance Avg
47.9
48
Quality of Victory
50
72
Momentum Score
72
Neal
Price
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
3.1
Style: Volume
2.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch0
23Ground2
Neal
Price
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neal
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
22/27 fights
Neal
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Neal
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neal
Price
Striking7.4 / 6.5Volume3.1 / 2.7Grappling1.6 / 2.3Wrestling1.1 / 1.6Submission1.3 / 2.2Pressure7.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Neal
Strike Zones
Price
Neal
Attacking
27HEAD0BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Price
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD0BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Price absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (88% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neal
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Neal · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Uros Medic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos Anjos
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado Garry
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Price · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Leon Shahbazyan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
L · Sub · R1
Michael Chiesa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay Veretennikov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe Smith
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba Gorimbo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Geoff Neal · Niko Price
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