METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
71%
Gastelum
29%
Marquardt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kelvin GastelumwinsKO/TKOR2 · 5:00
def. Nate Marquardt · UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gastelum
→
Actual result
Gastelum wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Gastelum is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GastelumMarquardt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gastelum
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
35+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gastelum
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
16.8
47.4
Performance Avg
48.6
42
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
59
Gastelum
Marquardt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
6.4
6.3
Style: Volume
3.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
3
8
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance6
1Clinch0
13Ground0
Gastelum
Marquardt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gastelum
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Gastelum
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Gastelum
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
69%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gastelum
Marquardt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
GastelumMarquardt
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMarquardt
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (69% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gastelum
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0
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