Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

Perth, Australia

27 Sept 2025

Light Heavyweight

54%

Stirling

46%

Bellato

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Navajo Stirling

11 – 0

6'4"79" reachOrthodox28 yrs6-fight win streakVolume Striker

CFR 71

Rodolfo Bellato

"Trator"

13 – 3

Knockout Artist30 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"

CFR 60

★ Official Result

Navajo StirlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Rodolfo Bellato · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Stirling

→

Actual result

Stirling wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stirling at 54% vs Bellato at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bellato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StirlingBellato

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Stirling

Bellato

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"+

Height

6'3"

79"+

Reach

75"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Stirling

Bellato

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

71.1

60.4

64.5

Performance Avg

54.5

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Stirling

Bellato

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.0

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

6.5

Style: Pressure

8.5

6.0

Style: Volume

1.0

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

26Distance20

2Clinch2

0Ground0

Stirling

Bellato

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

0.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Stirling

Bellato

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/11 fights

Chin rating based on

6/16 fights

Stirling

Bellato

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

6-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Stirling

Bellato

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stirling

Bellato

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

1.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.5

6.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

1.0

Stirling

Strike Zones

Bellato

Stirling

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

22 absorbed

Bellato

Attacking

22 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Stirling targets the body (54% of attacks) — Bellato absorbs 54% of strikes there

🎯Bellato targets the head (55% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stirling

RND

Bellato

0/0R00/0

Stirling · Last 5

Upcoming

Jiri Prochazka

UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling · 2026-11

W · KO · R1

Jan Blachowicz

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08

W · KO · R2

Ion Cutelaba

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · KO · R2

Bruno Lopes

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Rodolfo Bellato

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

Bellato · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Christian Edwards

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09

W · KO · R1

Luke Fernandez

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

L · Dec · R3

Navajo Stirling

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

Upcoming

Paul Craig

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

Upcoming

Jimmy Crute

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

News & Media

Navajo Stirling · Rodolfo Bellato

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