METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Featherweight
VS
61%
Ortega
39%
Guida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Brian OrtegawinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:40
def. Clay Guida · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortega
→
Actual result
Ortega wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ortega holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Guida has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ortega has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OrtegaGuida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortega
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+70"
35+
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Ortega
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
39.7
53.7
Performance Avg
40.7
48
Quality of Victory
35
80
Momentum Score
78
Ortega
Guida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
2.2
Style: Volume
5.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
14
3
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
31Distance20
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ortega
Guida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.8
4
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortega
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Ortega
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Ortega
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
39%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortega
Guida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
OrtegaGuida
Strike Zones
Ortega
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedGuida
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortega targets the head (88% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the head (70% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortega
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ortega · Last 5
Upcoming
Dan HookerUFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling · 2026-11
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04