METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
93%
McGee
7%
Junior
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Court McGeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marcio Alexandre Junior · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGee
→
Actual result
McGee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
McGee is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGeeJunior
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGee
Junior
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
McGee
Junior
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.2
2.4
39.4
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
McGee
Junior
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
3
2
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance5
0Clinch0
18Ground0
McGee
Junior
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGee
Junior
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/37 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
McGee
Junior
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
McGee
Junior
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Junior
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McGeeJunior
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJunior
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (72% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Junior targets the head (60% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Junior
0/0R00/0
McGee · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Eric NolanKO/TKO
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Michael ChiesaDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
Junior · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R3
Warlley AlvesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05