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UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Heavyweight
VS
74%
Volkov
26%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 3:30
Alexander
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40 – 11
6'7"80" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'11"
CFR 21
β˜… Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 3:30
def. Stefan Struve Β· UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
β†’
Actual result
Volkov wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Volkov is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Struve has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VolkovStruve
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Volkov
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'7"
Height
+6'11"
80"
Reach
+84"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
20.6
54.6
Performance Avg
51.7
41
Quality of Victory
50
88
Momentum Score
98
Volkov
Struve
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
7.5
5.8
Style: Volume
2.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
10
5
Body
4
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
39Distance16
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Volkov
Struve
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.6
1
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/51 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Volkov
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
88
98
3-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Volkov
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
85%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
6
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkov
Struve
Striking5.5 / 4.9Volume5.8 / 2.3Grappling1.8 / 4.1Wrestling1.3 / 2.8Submission0.7 / 4.6Pressure5.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Volkov
Strike Zones
Struve
Volkov
Attacking
26HEAD5BODY10LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Struve
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD5BODY10LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Struve absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Struve targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Volkov absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Volkov
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Volkov Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Rizvan Kuniev
Decision
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev Β· 2026-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jailton Almeida
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Β· 2025-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Ciryl Gane
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Β· 2024-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Sergei Pavlovich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Β· 2024-06

Struve Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Tai Tuivasa
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-10
L Β· KO Β· R2
Ben Rothwell
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Β· 2019-12
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos Β· 2019-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Marcin Tybura
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith Β· 2018-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Andrei Arlovski
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya Β· 2018-03

News & Media

Alexander Volkov Β· Stefan Struve
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