METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Lightweight
VS
74%
Oliveira
26%
Felder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:06
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Paul FelderwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:06
def. Charles Oliveira · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Felder wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraFelder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
21.7
58.6
Performance Avg
49.0
51
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Oliveira
Felder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
5.7
2.7
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch4
0Ground13
Oliveira
Felder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
4.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
6.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
17
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/48 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Oliveira
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
17
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Felder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
OliveiraFelder
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedFelder
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (82% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · Last 5
Upcoming
Diego LopesUFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes · 2026-12
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Felder · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryDecision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07