METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A chin rating of 10 against a striking rating of 10 — two southpaw finishers with a combined 0.77 finish rate and no interest in the judges.
Neither of these men has been to a decision more than once in the span this pack records, and there is a decent chance neither goes to one here. Dominick Reyes has a 0.7 finish rate; Azamat Murzakanov has 0.83. Eight of the ten fights listed between their two last-fives ended by knockout, and the other two went to the cards. Murzakanov is the higher-rated fighter almost everywhere. His composite …
Reyes (16-5) is 4-1 in his last five, with first- and second-round knockouts of Nikita Krylov, Anthony Smith and Dustin Jacoby and a decision over Johnny Walker in April 2026. The interruption was Carlos Ulberg stopping him in round one in September 2025. At 36, with 195.6cm of reach, his 10.0 chin rating is the lowest number anywhere on this card.
Murzakanov (16-1) lost for the first time in the recorded span when Paulo Costa stopped him in round three in April 2026. Before that: first-round knockouts of Aleksandar Rakic and Brendson Ribeiro, a second-round knockout of Alonzo Menifield and a decision over Dustin Jacoby. A 0.83 finish rate, a maximum 10.0 striking score, and 37 years old.
A 10.0 chin rating against a 10.0 striking score — the starkest single pairing on the card
Fifteen centimetres of reach for Reyes, 195.6cm to 180.3cm, between two southpaws
Murzakanov's 8.4 pressure rating against a man who must fight at range to survive
Neither fighter has a grappling score worth using — no off-ramp if the striking goes badly
Both were stopped inside their last five fights, by Ulberg and Costa respectively
Reyes' reach and 7.33 striking make him entirely capable of landing first; Murzakanov's 78.0 chin is good, not impervious
Murzakanov's 3.05 volume score means quiet stretches Reyes can win on output alone if he stays disciplined
The 16.7-point composite gap partly reflects Murzakanov's seven recorded UFC fights against Reyes' fifteen
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown