METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Oklahoma City, USA
18 Jul 2026
Featherweight
VS
56%
McMillen
44%
Montes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:29
★ Official Result
Tommy McMillenwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:29
def. Alberto Montes · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMillen
→
Actual result
McMillen wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McMillen at 56% vs Montes at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMillenMontes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMillen
Montes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMillen
Montes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.0
57.3
67.0
Performance Avg
49.7
45
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
59
McMillen
Montes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
8.5
4.7
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
61
Head
6
16
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
74Distance7
3Clinch0
4Ground0
McMillen
Montes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMillen
Montes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
McMillen
Montes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
McMillen
Montes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMillen
Montes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
McMillenMontes
Strike Zones
McMillen
Attacking
81 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMontes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
81 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMillen targets the head (75% of attacks) — Montes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Montes targets the head (86% of attacks) — McMillen absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMillen
RND
Montes
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
McMillen · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Marwan RahikiDecision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · KO · R3
Alberto MontesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Manolo ZecchiniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
Montes · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Tommy McMillenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Sub · R2
Ricky TurciosSubmission
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03