METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
34%
Rua
66%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Craig
Craig holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Rua has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Rua
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
49.1
49.7
Performance Avg
50.4
51
Quality of Victory
52
46
Momentum Score
46
Rua
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
8.2
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
8.4
3.1
Style: Volume
0.9
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
1
Body
3
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance9
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Rua
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Rua
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Rua
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
RuaCraig
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedCraig
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (56% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (40% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoUFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Bo NickalDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Caio BorralhoKO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11