METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Jauregui
48%
Souza
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:02
★ Official Result
Ketlen SouzawinsSubmissionR1 · 3:02
def. Yazmin Jauregui · UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jauregui
→
Actual result
Souza wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jauregui at 52% vs Souza at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Jauregui's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JaureguiSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jauregui
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
64"+
Reach
63"
27+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jauregui
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
49.2
51.4
Performance Avg
44.6
41
Quality of Victory
41
64
Momentum Score
53
Jauregui
Souza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
5.3
Style: Volume
5.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
12
8
Body
6
9
Leg
3
RangeRange
29Distance16
5Clinch4
1Ground1
Jauregui
Souza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jauregui
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Jauregui
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
53
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jauregui
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jauregui
Souza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
JaureguiSouza
Strike Zones
Jauregui
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedSouza
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jauregui targets the head (51% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (57% of attacks) — Jauregui absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jauregui
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jauregui · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Vanessa DemopoulosKO/TKO
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Ketlen SouzaSubmission
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Sam HughesDecision
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Denise GomesKO/TKO
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Istela NunesKO/TKO
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Souza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
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