METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
35%
Rua
65%
Preux
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ovince Saint PreuxwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mauricio Rua · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Preux
→
Actual result
Preux wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Preux holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Rua has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RuaPreux
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rua
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+80"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rua
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
46.7
49.7
Performance Avg
50.2
51
Quality of Victory
48
46
Momentum Score
72
Rua
Preux
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.7
3.1
Style: Volume
3.2
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
1
Body
10
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rua
Preux
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Rua
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rua
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
73%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
RuaPreux
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedPreux
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (46% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Preux targets the head (45% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06