METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
An unbeaten welterweight with three UFC fights and three finishes, against a man who knocked someone out in Texas thirteen days ago and is now in a pay-per-view cage.
This fight was made late and it shows. Jacobe Smith was supposed to face Kevin Holland in Oklahoma City in July; that fell through, and rather than sit out the rest of the year he has taken the opponent who was available. Bruce Whitehead knocked out Ali Abouzalam in forty-eight seconds in the main event of Fury FC 124 on 20 September. Thirteen days later he is making his UFC debut on a pay-per-vie…
Smith (12-0) is 3-0 in the UFC with three finishes: Parsons by first-round TKO in January 2025, Price by second-round submission in June, Harrell by first-round TKO in February. Thirty years old, southpaw, 182.9cm reach. His 56.5 quality-of-victory is solid for a three-fight sample. He has not fought since February — a seven-month layoff after the Holland booking collapsed.
Whitehead (8-2) is an Octagon debutant on thirteen days' notice, coming off a forty-eight-second knockout of Ali Abouzalam in the Fury FC 124 main event on 20 September. He carries a two-fight winning streak and a switch stance. The database holds no metrics for him because he has no UFC record — every rating on his side of this fight is genuinely unknown rather than low.
Whitehead fought thirteen days before this — the shortest possible turnaround into a UFC debut
Smith's 10.0 pressure rating against 2.0 volume: he comes forward and throws sparingly, and it has finished everyone so far
Seven months out of the cage for Smith since the Harrell stoppage in February
Every rating on Whitehead's side is absent rather than poor — the model is comparing against a blank
Smith's three UFC wins have taken a combined seven minutes
A 78% pick is doing more assuming than measuring — Whitehead has no UFC data to check it against
Smith's chin, fade index and championship-round capacity are all rated 100 because he has never been tested past round two, not because he has passed a test
Short-notice debutants coming off a quick knockout occasionally arrive sharper than the layoff fighter across from them
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown