METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
40%
60%
Padilla
Win Probability
Rongzhu
Rongzhu
27 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox26 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Chris
Chris Padilla
"Taco"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 72
★ Official Result
Chris PadillawinsR2 · 4:14
def. Rongzhu · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Padilla
→
Actual result
Padilla wins
Pre-fight analysis

Padilla holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Padilla has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
Padilla
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Padilla
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
26+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Padilla
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
72.0
41.6
Performance Avg
64.8
31
Quality of Victory
41
68
Momentum Score
100
Padilla
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
7.2
7.1
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
8
Body
4
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
16Distance27
6Clinch6
0Ground0
Padilla
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Padilla
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Padilla
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Padilla
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Padilla
Striking3.6 / 4.0Volume7.1 / 3.6Grappling1.8 / 3.7Wrestling1.3 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure3.5 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Strike Zones
Padilla
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD4BODY9LEGS33 absorbed
Padilla
Attacking
20HEAD4BODY9LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (50% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Padilla targets the head (61% of attacks) — absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Padilla
0/0R00/0

· Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin Hubbard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kody Steele
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · R2
Chris Padilla
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Ignacio Bahamondes
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02

Padilla · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Nasrat Haqparast
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
Upcoming
MarQuel Mederos
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Ismael Bonfim
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jai Herbert
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Rongzhu
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

News & Media

Rongzhu · Chris Padilla
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