METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Welterweight
VS
47%
Holland
53%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Randy Brown · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Holland wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 47% vs Brown at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
81"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
52.9
49.3
Performance Avg
48.7
44
Quality of Victory
39
51
Momentum Score
92
Holland
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.4
3.6
Style: Volume
5.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
5
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Holland
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.1
6
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/44 fights
Chin rating based on
23/28 fights
Holland
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
92
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Holland
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
HollandBrown
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBrown
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (53% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (64% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Holland · Last 5
Upcoming
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Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R2
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