METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 85: Bedlam
London, United Kingdom
7 Jun 2008
Welterweight
VS
42%
Alves
58%
Hughes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 Β· 1:02
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
5'9"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MH
Matt Hughes
45 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide53 yrsSwitch73" reach5'9"
CFR 23
β˜… Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsKO/TKOR2 Β· 1:02
def. Matt Hughes Β· UFC 85: Bedlam

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
β†’
Actual result
Alves wins
KO/TKO Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Alves at 42% vs Hughes at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hughes has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AlvesHughes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Alves
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
43+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Alves
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
23.0
47.3
Performance Avg
64.6
42
Quality of Victory
60
63
Momentum Score
100
Alves
Hughes
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
6.4
4.3
Style: Volume
3.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Alves
Hughes
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.8
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Alves
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
63
100
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alves
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
61%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
5
7
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
Hughes
Striking5.8 / 4.8Volume4.3 / 3.7Grappling1.5 / 2.9Wrestling1.0 / 2.0Submission0.7 / 2.8Pressure5.4 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Alves
Strike Zones
Hughes
Alves
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Hughes
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Hughes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alves Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Tim Means
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Β· 2019-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Laureano Staropoli
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Β· 2019-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Aleksei Kunchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik Β· 2018-09
L Β· KO Β· R2
Curtis Millender
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros Β· 2018-02

Hughes Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Josh Koscheck
KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage Β· 2011-09
L Β· KO Β· R1
BJ Penn
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida Β· 2010-11
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Ricardo Almeida
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen Β· 2010-08
W Β· KO Β· R3
Renzo Gracie
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible Β· 2010-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Matt Serra
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida Β· 2009-05

News & Media

Thiago Alves Β· Matt Hughes
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