METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
40%
Barboza
60%
Gaethje
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
★ Official Result
Justin GaethjewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:30
def. Edson Barboza · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gaethje
→
Actual result
Gaethje wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gaethje holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Barboza has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaethje has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gaethje has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaGaethje
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barboza
Gaethje
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Gaethje
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
67.6
45.7
Performance Avg
65.5
40
Quality of Victory
63
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Gaethje
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
6.5
5.1
Style: Volume
4.3
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
3
Body
2
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance12
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Barboza
Gaethje
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barboza
Gaethje
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/38 fights
Chin rating based on
16/32 fights
Barboza
Gaethje
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
Barboza
Gaethje
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
64%
9
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Gaethje
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
BarbozaGaethje
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedGaethje
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (46% of attacks) — Gaethje absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Gaethje targets the head (65% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Gaethje
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
Gaethje · Last 5
W · KO · R4
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R5
Paddy PimblettDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R5
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07