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UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2022
Welterweight
VS
49%
Magny
51%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 Β· 3:33
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 50
β˜… Official Result
Neil MagnywinsSubmissionR3 Β· 3:33
def. Daniel Rodriguez Β· UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
β†’
Actual result
Magny wins
Submission Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Magny at 49% vs Rodriguez at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 40 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagnyRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Magny
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
74"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Magny
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
50.4
48.3
Performance Avg
48.8
37
Quality of Victory
37
81
Momentum Score
70
Magny
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.8
5.8
Style: Volume
6.1
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Magny
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
38/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Magny
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
81
70
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Magny
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
40%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Rodriguez
Striking4.5 / 4.3Volume5.8 / 6.1Grappling2.3 / 2.2Wrestling1.6 / 1.6Submission1.2 / 1.0Pressure5.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Magny
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Magny
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (75% of attacks) β€” Rodriguez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (55% of attacks) β€” Magny absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Magny Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R2
Ramiz Brahimaj
KO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Β· 2026-08
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Yaroslav Amosov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape Β· 2025-12
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Jake Matthews
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Β· 2025-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11

Rodriguez Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Uros Medic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Β· 2026-08
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Kevin Holland
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 Β· 2025-07
W Β· KO Β· R3
Santiago Ponzinibbio
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Β· 2025-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex Morono
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Β· 2024-06

News & Media

Neil Magny Β· Daniel Rodriguez
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