METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
23%
Modafferi
77%
O'Neill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Casey O'NeillwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roxanne Modafferi · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Neill
→
Actual result
O'Neill wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
O'Neill is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Neill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ModafferiO'Neill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Modafferi
O'Neill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
44
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
O'Neill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
60.1
32.8
Performance Avg
58.5
33
Quality of Victory
46
15
Momentum Score
58
Modafferi
O'Neill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
7.3
6.7
Style: Volume
3.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
59
11
Body
8
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
34Distance69
7Clinch2
0Ground0
Modafferi
O'Neill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Modafferi
O'Neill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Modafferi
O'Neill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
O'Neill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Modafferi
O'Neill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
ModafferiO'Neill
Strike Zones
Modafferi
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
71 absorbedO'Neill
Attacking
71 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (73% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯O'Neill targets the head (83% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Modafferi
RND
O'Neill
0/0R00/0
Modafferi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillDecision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosDecision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
O'Neill · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Eduarda MouraSubmission
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03