METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Featherweight
VS
51%
Volkanovski
49%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
CFR 66
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Diego Lopes · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkanovski at 51% vs Lopes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkanovskiLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkanovski
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.9
62.9
62.2
Performance Avg
57.5
48
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
69
Volkanovski
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
7.1
6.7
Style: Volume
3.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance2
3Clinch0
7Ground1
Volkanovski
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
11/35 fights
Volkanovski
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Volkanovski
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
71%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkanovski
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
VolkanovskiLopes
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLopes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (86% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkanovski
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
Volkanovski · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Movsar EvloevKO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Lopes · Last 5
Upcoming
Charles OliveiraUFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes · 2026-12
W · KO · R2
Steve GarciaKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean SilvaKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04